In Part 1 we examined how the challenges of the past and present have shaped SAP and its surrounding ecosystem. In this part, we will see how we are reaching the maximum power of computing as a whole and how scientists are working to beat this limit.
As 2030 comes to pass what will be in store for the SAP ecosystem? In the past, we have seen how a lack of flexible but organised methodologies had caused reticence in upgrading to newer solutions and in the present how skills shortages have slowed down what would otherwise be a greater technological upgrade. Could the next challenge for the ecosystem be ultimately a hardware issue?
One might have heard of Moore’s law before, which states that the number of transistors in a dense integrated circuit doubles about every two years. Essentially computers are getting more powerful at a faster and faster rate over the years. This is easily observable in the past ten years, where the difference in power between machines from 2010 to 2020 is vastly greater than the difference between 1990 to 2000.
The problem is that ultimately computational power, like everything else, is limited by the laws of physics. As theoretical physicist Michio Kaku points out: “In about ten years or so, we will see the collapse of Moore’s law. In fact, already we are seeing a slowing down of Moore’s law. Computer power simply cannot maintain its rapid exponential rise using standard silicon technology.”
Kaku later expresses that the solution to this issue is: “We may have to go to molecular computers and perhaps late in the 21st-century, quantum computers”. Normal computers most fundamental base is the idea of bits, which determine all processes. Essentially they are like a system of off and on switches that determine an outcome by methodically exploring each outcome one by one.
Recent discoveries in physics have discovered that when you go past the sub-atomic level, weird things start to happen, particles can exist and not exist at the same time. In theory, a quantum computer would use Qubits, rather than bits, where they are not limited to off and on, but could exist in a state of both existence and non-existence. Thus, when processing, all options can be explored at the same time rather than methodically going through the processes one by one. Quantum computing in theory, could increase computer processing power to cosmic proportions.
It is no surprise that SAP is deeply interested in quantum computing, but to ensure that businesses benefit from its future products the issues of the past must be taken into account, that project management methodologies move with the times and that there is a talent pool ready to aid organizations in that next monumental step. In the end, resist shouting “Bah Humbug!” and embrace the lessons from the past.
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